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NBA Wins Over/Under

Posted on October 16 2018

Fortunately, it is that time of the year again.  BASKETBALL. IS. BACK!!!!  It couldn't have gotten here any sooner as the NBA bumped up their start date by a couple weeks but we aren't ones to complain.  Over the next two days I will give my over/under win totals for each team in the league starting with the Eastern Conference today.  

I've also enlisted the help of our 11 year old NBA Guru Luke Shoobridge.  After watching some March Madness games with him last year I feel pretty confident that he will become an NBA GM when he grows up.  We put his knowledge to the test and had him pick OVER/UNDER's for each team as well.

May the best man win!

WESTERN CONFERENCE

L.A. CLIPPERS- 36.5

 Aaron Meyer: Unless they get Butler this team is the Miami Heat west coast version. They might not have the cap problems which sets them up for next year that does not help them in any way this year the west is too loaded and they’re missing that je nu se qua the essence just like the Heat. UNDER

Luke Shoobridge: Under

DALLAS MAVERICKS- 34.5

AM: I’m probably showing a bit of Doncic fanboy here but I like this team to be sniffing around the playoffs. Jordan is better than Chandler was when they made their finals run Mummy Dirk Dennis Smith Jr. and Doncic this might be my league pass team. OVER

 LS: Over

MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES- 33

AM: This one is another living dangerously pick because they are perpetually injured. Like their rookie and just believe that if they can even have a bit of injury luck they can win 35 games. OVER

LS: Over

PHOENIX SUNS- 29

AM: Hate this team they just fired their GM. The just hired a new coach Booker has a broken hand. Their rookie won’t make anyone better. UNDER     

LS: Over

SACRAMENTO KINGS- 25.5

AM:  This team is the reason people hate analytics. They actually toyed with the idea of playing 4 on 5 on Defense because they could keep a guy at the other end. Instead they play 5 on 5 but it seams like 4 on 5 because their defense just sucks. I like a few of their players. Yogi’s on the team along with Bagely but if you are relying on rookie’s, journeymen, a guy that’s torn both ACLs and Willy Cauley Stein you’re going to be the worst team in the league. UNDER

LS: Under

UTAH JAZZ- 49.5

AM:   They are getting lots of buzz for second best team out west. I agree if Gobert stays healthy they will have a better regular season than the Warriors or the Rockets if either of those teams has any bad luck. OVER     

LS: Under

OKC THUNDER- 48.5

AM: People think that Melo was the problem. Unfortunately as much as I love him I think it’s Russ. He’s a bit like Ayton he makes people better but on his terms and he doesn’t always understand when to elevate his game and when to elevate the game of his teammates. It was something Jordan had to learn too. Russ still doesn’t have it. UNDER

LS: Under

NEW ORLEANS PELICANS- 46

AM:   Tough saying UNDER but I think they will miss the guys they lost more than then know. Rondo was just flat out good for them. I would have them right around 46 wins on Davis alone but I do worry that if they start slow if the trade machine really heats up on him.

LS: Even.  Luke wouldn't budge off the 46 line.  Says they'll win exactly 46!

MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES- 45

AM: Jimmy Butler. Also Andrew Wiggins got max money and he sucks. You have to love sports where you can make 120 million dollars and absolutely not help your team win. Truly incredible. UNDER

LS: Over

SAN ANTONIO SPURS- 45

AM: Dejounte Murray out for the season with ACL hurts, Lonnie Walker out 6-8 weeks as well. At some point then miss the playoffs after 21 years this is the year. Spurs out. UNDER

LS: Over

PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS- 42

AM:  They were the 3 seed last year. I don’t know why they would go backwards. Both of their stars are in their prime and DAME Dollar is underrated again. He’s always going back and forth but that guy is good. OVER

LS: Over

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS- 62.5

AM: Maybe Boogie energizes them if he comes back even 75% of himself. If so then they get to this number. Otherwise I don't think they get there.  Regular season wins aren't the goal here. UNDER

LS: Over

HOUSTON ROCKETS- 56

AM Don’t think they care about the regular season either.  If they’re close to the one seed they’ll go for it again but they need Chris Paul and Harden healthy to have a chance against the Warriors. UNDER     

LS: Over

LOS ANGELES LAKERS- 48

AM Lebron = 50 wins when he’s healthy. I don’t see this team being any worse than last years Cavs team and should have at least a little less controversy. Though the hype machine will be at an all time high in LA-LA Land. OVER

LS: Over


EASTERN CONFERENCE

ATLANTA HAWKS- 24

 Aaron Meyer: Hammer the UNDER on this one. Last year they had a coach Budenholzer who wanted to win this year there are no reservations. They are drawing a straight line to RJ Barrett or Zion.

Luke Shoobridge: Under

NEW YORK KNICKS- 28.5

AM: I’m confused by the Knicks. I’m going UNDER because Porzingas is their only real player but you never know with Knox who seems as predicted better than where he was drafted.

 LS: Over

CHICAGO BULLS- 30

AM: I had this as over but I’m going UNDER with Lauri out for 6 weeks arresting his development I just don’t trust the coach the organization or the players It’s going to be another tough year.

LS: Over

CLEVELAND CAVALIERS- 30.5

AM: Whoa unto the Cavs fans they’ve been writing themselves into the NBA finals for the past 4 years no more. I’m going to take the slight OVER on Kevin Love and just a carry over of Swag but they are on a downward trajectory and will end up out of the playoffs.

LS: Over

BROOKLYN NETS- 30.5

AM: Hangover from the Celtics draft pick heist continues. They’ve got a few interesting players but there is no team of the 30 teams outside of Sacramento that wants to be described as having a few interesting players. OVER    

LS: Under

ORLANDO MAGIC- 31

AM My least favorite team. I hate everything they are doing. They are building the Charlotte Hornets maybe even a worse version because at least the Hornets have Kemba. UNDER         

LS: Over

CHARLOTTE HORNETS- 35.5

AM:   This one seems easy to me under trade Kemba to LA midseason and Tank for Zion or RJ. UNDER   

LS: Over

WASHINGTON WIZARDS- 44.5

AM:  Competing with the Lakers for the strangest team in the NBA. As Bill Simmons aptly named him they have the Dwightbola virus, overweight heavy partying quickly aging John Wall who still can’t shoot. Brad Beal who I love, Otto Porter who I always forget is on the team Obre who is one of those talented but never quite gets there guys destine to become the next Jeff Green oh and they have Jeff Green. UNDER

LS: Over

MILWAUKEE BUCKS- 47.5

AM:   Love Giannis not sure I love anything else about this team. Giannis seems destined to leave and join Kevin Durant in NYC. OVER

LS: Over

INDIANA PACERS- 48

AM:   Long live Victor Oladipo! OVER

LS: Over

MIAMI HEAT- 41.5

AM:  I'm going UNDER unless they get Butler. 2nd highest payroll if you count Bosh’s salary which you can’t really do but I’m sure they think about it when making decisions. Even without him they have the 5th highest payroll and I just don’t know what this team is. Embiid ruined Whiteside. They need Jimmy!

LS: Under

DETROIT PISTONS- 38

AM This one seems simple they are just too injury prone. I have no reason to believe in them. UNDER

LS: Under

TORONTO RAPTERS- 55.5

AM:  Love their versatility. I believe in Nick Nurse. There is some similarities between Toronto and Cleveland in year 1 where David Blatt had trouble with that team but only if Kawhi isn’t himself. I think they will thrive though. And what if they decide to go for Jimmy? I know it’s speculation but that could make two really interesting eastern conference teams. OVER

LS: Under

PHILADELPHIA 76ERS- 54.5

AM:  Love their versatility. I believe in Nick Nurse. There is some similarities between Toronto and Cleveland in year 1 where David Blatt had trouble with that team but only if Kawhi isn’t himself. I think they will thrive though. And what if they decide to go for Jimmy? I know it’s speculation but that could make two really interesting eastern conference teams. OVER

LS: Over

BOSTON CELTICS- 59

AM: I hate this team, I love this team. Though I desperately want them to fail I love the way that they play basketball. Individually I love some of their players. It’s a bit like Lebron. I’ve never been a fan of his teams but always liked watching him play basketball. OVER

LS: Under



Aaron Meyer

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